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Week Ending February 5 Financial Markets Update

Equity markets surged higher as COVID concerns waned and quarterly earnings reports surpassed most estimates. The S&P 500 Index returned 4.67% last week, the best weekly return since early November. Earnings season was in full gear as 108 names in the S&P 500 announced quarterly results. The median earnings surprise was 6.95% higher than analyst estimates, a primary driver of equity returns last week.

The steepening yield curve trend continued with shorter-dated US Treasury bond yields down and longer-dated US Treasury bond yields higher. The two-year Treasury note yield matched record lows on Friday, while the 10-year US Treasury bond yield hit year-to-date highs. Monday’s ISM Manufacturing Index survey missed the consensus expectation but signaled manufacturing expansion. 
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Q2 2025 Financial Management Newsletter

Risks including but not limited to the political climate in Washington D.C., recession, stagflation, inflation and tariffs remain and yet equity markets bottomed early in